Saturday, August 9, 2008

Week in Review

RCP poll avgs on 8/2
Obama 46.5
McCain 43.9

RCP poll avgs on 8/8
Obama 46.9
McCain 43.3

McCain Intrade


Obama Intrade


Ohio
Republicans:


Democrats:


The most significant event of the week happened on August 5th. Almost every battleground state price shows a sharp increase for McCain on the 5th followed by steady erosion of the increase over the rest of the week. New Mexico and Nevada, where the increase disappears entirely, and Indiana, where the increase is maintained, break the pattern. Michigan also had a Pro-McCain reaction on the 5th but lost that and more by the end of the week.

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