Someone is trying to manipulate the markets on Intrade. That means free money for anyone that buys an Obama contract. Sell in exactly 3 weeks for guaranteed profit. Or if you feel the need to make a larger gamble and you think Obama will win, you'll get your best price now so buy and hold till expiration.
Mccains only chance at this point is a. the general consensus is that the financial system is stable to the point that we can get back to more trivial issues. 2. Jeremiah Wright round two hits harder than anticipated and Coloradans actually care.