LMAO@Obama-Biden

There is a reason nobody took Biden's presidential campaign seriously in the first place. Biden is not appropriate for national television. His total inability to shut his mouth is a character flaw. His Jefferson Jackson dinner speech in Iowa was literally the worst speech I have ever heard in my entire life. (And I have attended English language Toastmasters meetings in Beijing). When he starts talking too much during Cspan coverage of congressional hearings, I can turn it off or skip forward 20 minutes, but there in Iowa I could do nothing but count his attempts to invoke an aura of weightiness by saying "ladies and gentlemen" over and over and over. Sure one could argue that Biden's policy stances contradict what Obama claims to stand for. Or that these policy stances are flawed. Or mention his plagiarism in 1988. But if I was Steve Schmidt or Rick Davis, I might just say nothing. Attacking Biden gives him an undeserved credibility, evidencing a concern that without the attacks people might not see through his rhetoric for what he really is. There need not be such concern with Biden. Just let him introduce himself to the American public in the way that he sees best fit. That will surely be off-putting enough for the majority of Americans.
Dems should be crying. They could have Clinton-Obama. Instead they have Obama-Biden. LMAO.


As for McCain, I'm assuming that both Rice and Petreus, for whatever reasons, are not actually choosable. I'm hoping for Pawlenty and if it's Romney I will be rather disappointed.

Ohio polls and price movement

A new PPP poll shows Obama and McCain tied in Ohio. The previous PPP poll showed Obama ahead by 8 points. Rasmussen will most likely be the next to release an Ohio poll. Their previous release had McCain ahead by 10 points and prior to that two months of McCain leading by 1. It seems possible that PPP set up Ohio to shift from lean Obama to lean McCain and Rasmussen might push it over the edge. In other words look for the Rasmussen report to move Ohio.Rep higher.

Week in Review 8/9-8/16

Examining the graphs from the past week, three battleground states showed significant movement for McCain between the 15th-16th (Friday-Saturday).

Poll releases seem to tell the story:
Sat. 8/16

Rocky Mtn News/CBS4

08/11 - 08/13

500 RV

41

44

McCain +3

Fri. 8/15
Rasmussen: Obama 48, McCain 49 McCain +1

Looking further back, it's apparent the CO price has been following the polls. Obama reached a high of 75 prior to the release of the first poll in which McCain lead on 7/22. From that point it has been a steady decline with the exception of a short uptick on 8/8 when the PPP poll showed Obama ahead by 4.
McCain now leads in the CO polls but trails on Intrade. (Small lead according to RCP, dead even according to pollster.com, slightly behind according to 538 which weights the Rocky Mnt News poll at .75) Are the markets pricing in the anticipated effects of the DNC convention?

As for Nevada and Florida, they both had recent poll releases that favored McCain. The date on 538 is 8/11. Polls tend to carry the dates they were conducted rather than released whereas the latter date is more useful for my purposes.

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Highlights of Saturday's Rasmussen Poll Release

"McCain is now trusted more than Obama on nine out of 14 electoral issues tracked by Rasmussen Reports. But perhaps the most interesting finding of this survey is that McCain has expanded his leads on nearly every issue he had previously had the advantage on, while Obama’s leads have diminished over the past two weeks."

"During July, the number of Americans who consider themselves to be Democrats fell to 39.2% while the number of self-identified Republicans stayed at 31.6%. LINK It was the first time since January that the number of Democrats has fallen below 41%."

"Television is the news source of choice for most Americans for information on the 2008 presidential campaign, with local stations having a slight edge over their cable competitors."

"In a separate survey last month, 49% of voters believed that most reporters are trying to help Democratic candidate Barack Obama win the presidency. Only 14% thought they are trying to help Republican John McCain win. Just one voter in four (24%) said most reporters are trying to be unbiased."

Special Note: Marc Ambinder has broadsided Dick Morris and come out strongly against Obama under performing amongst older white women and in favor of McCain under performing amongst white men.